Counter-Strike: Walczaki vs Inner Circle Esports (BO3) - Super DraculaN Playoffs

Platform comparison

Active sub-markets

Market context

This market tracks the Counter-Strike 2 quarterfinal between Walczaki and Inner Circle Esports in the Digital Crusade Super DraculaN Season 1, scheduled for 11:00 AM ET on 26 June 2026. Walczaki, the Polish squad, recently lost a tight 2-1 semi-final to Echo but advanced to the quarter-finals, whereas Inner Circle Esports, a British organisation that entered CS2 in January 2025, is facing its first major playoff test against a seasoned opponent[1][7]. The current crowd-implied probability of 0% for Walczaki winning suggests the market views the Polish team as heavily favoured, a stance that mirrors historical patterns where established teams from established regions dominate newer entrants in early playoff stages.

Traders approaching this programmatically should monitor live score feeds for match start times and any delays beyond the seven-day cancellation window, as these trigger the 50-50 settlement clause[2][5]. Key catalysts include official roster announcements for Inner Circle Esports, which may reveal if they are fielding a full squad or a substitute lineup, and the world ranking disparity between the two teams (53 vs 59) which often influences conditional order strategies[4]. Recent coverage of the tournament highlights the high stakes of the Bucharest LAN event, where VRS impact scores are critical for team performance, making pre-match roster checks essential for accurate model calibration[8].

Sources: 1 · 2 · 3 · 4 · 5

Methodology

We track Counter-Strike: Walczaki vs Inner Circle Esports (BO3) - Super DraculaN Playoffs on the five venues with material liquidity for prediction markets. Live odds come from the Polymarket Polygon order book — the only source that ships real-time data under an open licence. For Kalshi, Betfair and Manifold we list platform attributes (fee, KYC, settlement, payment) instead of fabricated odds, because their APIs use non-comparable contract definitions.

Resolution & payout

At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.

On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.

FAQ

Is this market available outside the US?

PolyGram is available in most jurisdictions where Polymarket isn't directly accessible. Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check local regulations.

How does resolution work?

Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.

What does it cost to trade on PolyGram?

Zero. PolyGram routes every order to the live Polymarket order book; the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction.

How fast are USDC deposits?

Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.

How reliable are the quoted odds?

The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.