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Counter-Strike: Virtus.pro vs Heroic (BO3) - Thunderpick World Championship Closed Qualifier Playoffs

Comparison of odds and platforms for "Counter-Strike: Virtus.pro vs Heroic (BO3) - Thunderpick World Championship Closed Qualifier Playoffs" — sourced live from the Polymarket order book, curated by Kalshi Fees.

Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 49% Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 49% Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 49% O/U 2.5 Games 44% Volume: $58K Liquidity: $154K Closes: 13 Sept 2026
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Counter-Strike: Virtus.pro vs Heroic (BO3) - Thunderpick World Championship Closed Qualifier Playoffs

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Kalshi Fees) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
49% 51% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Place a position →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
49% 51% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Place a position →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Place a position →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Place a position →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Place a position →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.549%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.549%
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.549%
O/U 2.5 Games44%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Heroic (-3.5) vs Virtus.pro (+3.5)44%
Map Handicap: HERO (-1.5) vs Virtus.pro (+1.5)41%
Map 1 Winner37%
Map 2 Winner36%
Match Winner34%

Market context

Market consensus: 49% chance of counter-strike: virtus.pro vs heroic (bo3) - thunderpick world championship closed qualifier playoffs. Prediction markets aggregate real capital to produce this probability signal. This market refers to the Counter-Strike Semifinal 1 match between Virtus.pro and Heroic in the Thunderpick World Championship Closed Qualifier Playoffs, initially scheduled for Se…

Methodology

This page reviews Counter-Strike: Virtus.pro vs Heroic (BO3) - Thunderpick World Championship Closed Qualifier Playoffs across five venues. The live probability is the Polymarket mid-price, sourced directly from the on-chain Polygon order book; the comparison columns benchmark each venue on fee structure, KYC, settlement currency and payment rails. Every CTA routes to Kalshi Fees, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.

Resolution & payout

Settlement runs on-chain. Polymarket's contract logic separates YES and NO shares as conditional tokens; at resolution the winning share lifts to $1.00 and the losing one to $0. The outcome input comes from the UMA Optimistic Oracle, which secures against bad resolution with a bond + dispute window.

Once finalised, the smart contract pays USDC to the holders' wallets within minutes — no withdrawal fees beyond Polygon network gas. Kalshi settles in USD via CFTC clearance, Betfair in account currency net of commission, Manifold in play-money mana with no cash-out.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is Kalshi Fees. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
Is this market available outside the US?
Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
How does resolution work?
Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
What does Polymarket cost to trade?
Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.
How fast are USDC deposits?
Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
and

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