What's the difference between YES and NO shares?

A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.

What does Polymarket cost to trade?

Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.

How fast are USDC deposits?

Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.

Do I need to KYC for this market?

On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like Kalshi Fees trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.

How reliable are the quoted odds?

The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.

Counter-Strike: Liquid vs 9INE (BO3) - Stake Pulse … | Kalshifees 2026

Name: Counter-Strike: Liquid vs 9INE (BO3) - Stake Pulse Beat I Playoffs
Start: 2026-08-04T00:43:38.000Z
End: 2026-08-04T20:00:00.000Z

Platform comparison

Platform	YES odds	NO odds	Fee	KYC	Settlement
Polymarket (via Kalshi Fees) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker)	71%	29%	0% (USDC on-chain)	No-KYC up to $1,500	USDC, auto via UMA oracle	Place a position →
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com	71%	29%	0%	Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU	USDC, on-chain	Place a position →
Kalshi kalshi.com	—	—	Up to 7% per trade	US-only, KYC required	USD	Place a position →
Betfair Exchange betfair.com	—	—	2-5% commission	Full KYC from first trade	GBP / EUR	Place a position →
Manifold Markets manifold.markets	—	—	Play-money (mana)	None — play-money	Mana (no cash-out)	Place a position →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

Outcome	Probability
Match Winner	71%
Map 3 Rounds Handicap: Liquid (-3.5) vs 9INE (+3.5)	71%
Map 1 Winner	65%
Map 2 Winner	65%
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5	50%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Liquid (-3.5) vs 9INE (+3.5)	47%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5	46%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5	46%
O/U 2.5 Games	44%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Liquid (-3.5) vs 9INE (+3.5)	44%
Map Handicap: TL (-1.5) vs 9INE (+1.5)	43%

Market context

Live Polymarket data shows 71% YES probability for Counter-Strike: Liquid vs 9INE (BO3) - Stake Pulse Beat I Playoffs. This market refers to the Counter-Strike Quarterfinal 3 match between Liquid and 9INE in the Stake Pulse Beat I Playoffs, initially scheduled for August 4 at 10:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "…

Methodology

This page reviews Counter-Strike: Liquid vs 9INE (BO3) - Stake Pulse Beat I Playoffs across five venues. The live probability is the Polymarket mid-price, sourced directly from the on-chain Polygon order book; the comparison columns benchmark each venue on fee structure, KYC, settlement currency and payment rails. Every CTA routes to Kalshi Fees, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.

Resolution & payout

At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.

On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.

FAQ

What's the difference between YES and NO shares?: A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
What does Polymarket cost to trade?: Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.
How fast are USDC deposits?: Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
Do I need to KYC for this market?: On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like Kalshi Fees trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.
How reliable are the quoted odds?: The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.

Alex ChenPrediction Market Analystand

Jordan LeeSports Prediction Reporter

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Counter-Strike: Liquid vs 9INE (BO3) - Stake Pulse Beat I Playoffs

Platform comparison

Outcome probabilities

Market context

Methodology

Resolution & payout

FAQ

Trade Counter-Strike: Liquid vs 9INE (BO3) - Stake Pulse B… on Kalshi Fees

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