Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via Kalshi Fees) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
100% | 0% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Place a position → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
100% | 0% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Place a position → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Place a position → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Place a position → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Place a position → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| Map 2 Winner | 100% |
| O/U 2.5 Games | 100% |
| Map 1 Winner | 0% |
| Match Winner | 0% |
Market context
Red Feet and QUINTESSÊNCIA were scheduled for a best-of-three in the CCT South America Challengers #2 Playoffs lower bracket, Round 3, with the market set to resolve on the match winner, or 50-50 if the series is not played or finishes tied under the event rules. The current crowd-implied price of 0% YES is therefore best read as a stale or disconnected signal rather than a live consensus, because the fixture is already listed as completed on match databases and scored 2-1 for QUINTESSÊNCIA.[1][2][5]
For comparable BO3 playoff markets, the useful baseline is that lower-bracket matches in online South American CS2 events tend to move sharply only when line-up, schedule, or stream confirmations land, and they can reprice fast if a result is posted elsewhere first. Polymarket’s own CCT South America board shows the same match elsewhere trading much closer to a balanced two-sided view, with QUINTESSÊNCIA favoured but Red Feet still assigned material win probability, which underlines how far a 0% reading can drift from the broader market when one venue lags.[8][10][13]
A programmatic trader would monitor the official bracket status, match-room updates, and any postponement notices, because the settlement clock runs from the original scheduled start unless the game is delayed within the rule window. In practice, that means bots should watch for a completed scoreline, a “not played” flag, or a rescheduled start pushed beyond the 168-hour limit; ESPN’s live CS2 listings and event trackers such as BO3 and CS2Bet were both carrying the fixture as part of the playoffs, which is the kind of confirmation pipeline that matters most for automation.[3][5][12]
Methodology
This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote, four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to Kalshi Fees, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.
Resolution & payout
Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.
Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.
FAQ
- Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
- Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is Kalshi Fees. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
- Is this market available outside the US?
- Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
- What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
- A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
- How fast are USDC deposits?
- Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
- How reliable are the quoted odds?
- The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
Trade Counter-Strike: Red Feet vs QUINTESSÊNCIA (BO3) - CC… on Kalshi Fees
Live order book, 0% fees, USDC settlement in seconds.
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