Counter-Strike: Patins da Ferrari vs Grêmio Esports (BO3) - CCT South America Series 4 Group Stage

Platform comparison

Market context

Patins da Ferrari defeated Grêmio Esports 2–0 in their Counter-Strike 2 Round 2 match at the CCT South America Series 4 Group Stage, played on 17 July at 16:00 local time [1][3]. The result confirms the 100% YES crowd-implied probability for Patins da Ferrari, as the match concluded without cancellation, tie, or delay beyond the seven-day settlement window.

Historically, South American CS2 group-stage BO3s with pre-match odds favouring one side by 1.40–1.50 (as Patins held at 1.40) resolve to the favoured team in roughly 72% of cases, with 2–0 finishes accounting for 58% of those wins [4]. A 100% implied probability in live markets typically signals either a completed result or a near-certain outcome confirmed by roster integrity and map performance; here, the 2–0 scoreline aligns with that pattern, eliminating the 50–50 cancellation clause.

Traders should monitor official CCT South America schedule updates for any rescheduling dependencies, though the match has already concluded [1]. No further catalysts remain active: roster announcements, patch notes, or map-pool changes are irrelevant post-result. For programmatic approaches, conditional orders on this market would have triggered automatically upon the 2–0 resolution, with no need for manual intervention or copy-trading bots, as the outcome is deterministic and settled.

Sources: 1 · 2 · 3 · 4

Methodology

This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote, four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to Kalshi Fees, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.

Resolution & payout

Settlement runs on-chain. Polymarket's contract logic separates YES and NO shares as conditional tokens; at resolution the winning share lifts to $1.00 and the losing one to $0. The outcome input comes from the UMA Optimistic Oracle, which secures against bad resolution with a bond + dispute window.

Once finalised, the smart contract pays USDC to the holders' wallets within minutes — no withdrawal fees beyond Polygon network gas. Kalshi settles in USD via CFTC clearance, Betfair in account currency net of commission, Manifold in play-money mana with no cash-out.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?

Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is Kalshi Fees. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.

Is this market available outside the US?

Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.

How does resolution work?

Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.

How fast are USDC deposits?

Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.

How reliable are the quoted odds?

The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.