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Counter-Strike: Misa Esports vs Falcons Force (BO3) - Thunderpick World Championship European Series #2 Group D

Comparison of odds and platforms for "Counter-Strike: Misa Esports vs Falcons Force (BO3) - Thunderpick World Championship European Series #2 Group D" — sourced live from the Polymarket order book, curated by Kalshi Fees.

Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 100% Map Handicap: FAL.F (-1.5) vs Misa Esports (+1.5) 100% Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Falcons Force (-3.5) vs Misa Esports (+3.5) 90% Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Falcons Force (-3.5) vs Misa Esports (+3.5) 90% Volume: $176K Liquidity: $117K Closes: 28 Jul 2026
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Counter-Strike: Misa Esports vs Falcons Force (BO3) - Thunderpick World Championship European Series #2 Group D

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Kalshi Fees) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
 100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Place a position →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
 100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Place a position →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
 — — Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Place a position →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
 — — 2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Place a position →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
 — — Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Place a position →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5100%
Map Handicap: FAL.F (-1.5) vs Misa Esports (+1.5)100%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Falcons Force (-3.5) vs Misa Esports (+3.5)90%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Falcons Force (-3.5) vs Misa Esports (+3.5)90%
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.550%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.510%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 24.510%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Misa Esports (-3.5) vs Falcons Force (+3.5)10%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Misa Esports (-6.5) vs Falcons Force (+6.5)10%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 24.52%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Falcons Force (-6.5) vs Misa Esports (+6.5)1%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Falcons Force (-9.5) vs Misa Esports (+9.5)1%
Map 1 Winner0%
Map 2 Winner0%
Match Winner0%
O/U 2.5 Games0%
Map Handicap: MISA (-1.5) vs Falcons Force (+1.5)0%

Market context

Traders on decentralised prediction markets give 100% probability to counter-strike: misa esports vs falcons force (bo3) - thunderpick world championship european series #2 group d. This market refers to the Counter-Strike Winners match between Misa Esports and Falcons Force in the Thunderpick World Championship European Series #2 Group D, initially scheduled for July 28 at 1:00P…

Methodology

This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote, four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to Kalshi Fees, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.

Resolution & payout

At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.

On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.

FAQ

Is this market available outside the US?
Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
How does resolution work?
Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
What does Polymarket cost to trade?
Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.
How fast are USDC deposits?
Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
Do I need to KYC for this market?
On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like Kalshi Fees trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.
Alex ChenAlex ChenPrediction Market AnalystandJordan LeeJordan LeeSports Prediction Reporter

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