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Counter-Strike: magic vs EYEBALLERS (BO3) - 1win Private Club #1 Playoffs

How the prediction-market book is pricing "Counter-Strike: magic vs EYEBALLERS (BO3) - 1win Private Club #1 Playoffs" right now, with a side-by-side platform comparison and zero-fee CTAs.

Match Winner 73% Map 2 Winner 68% Map 1 Winner 59% Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 52% Volume: $87K Liquidity: $102K Closes: 25 Sept 2026
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Counter-Strike: magic vs EYEBALLERS (BO3) - 1win Private Club #1 Playoffs

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Kalshi Fees) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
73% 27% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Place a position →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
73% 27% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Place a position →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
— — Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Place a position →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
— — 2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Place a position →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
— — Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Place a position →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Match Winner73%
Map 2 Winner68%
Map 1 Winner59%
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.552%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: magic (-3.5) vs EYEBALLERS (+3.5)51%
Map 3 Rounds Handicap: magic (-3.5) vs EYEBALLERS (+3.5)51%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: magic (-3.5) vs EYEBALLERS (+3.5)50%
O/U 2.5 Games46%
Map Handicap: MGC (-1.5) vs EYEBALLERS (+1.5)44%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.532%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.531%

Market context

The Counter-Strike: magic vs EYEBALLERS (BO3) - 1win Private Club #1 Playoffs prediction market currently prices this outcome at 73% YES. This market refers to the Counter-Strike Upper Bracket Quarterfinal 3 match between magic and EYEBALLERS in the 1win Private Club #1 Playoffs, initially scheduled for September 25, 2026 at 11:00 AM ET…

Methodology

This page reviews Counter-Strike: magic vs EYEBALLERS (BO3) - 1win Private Club #1 Playoffs across five venues. The live probability is the Polymarket mid-price, sourced directly from the on-chain Polygon order book; the comparison columns benchmark each venue on fee structure, KYC, settlement currency and payment rails. Every CTA routes to Kalshi Fees, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.

Resolution & payout

Settlement runs on-chain. Polymarket's contract logic separates YES and NO shares as conditional tokens; at resolution the winning share lifts to $1.00 and the losing one to $0. The outcome input comes from the UMA Optimistic Oracle, which secures against bad resolution with a bond + dispute window.

Once finalised, the smart contract pays USDC to the holders' wallets within minutes — no withdrawal fees beyond Polygon network gas. Kalshi settles in USD via CFTC clearance, Betfair in account currency net of commission, Manifold in play-money mana with no cash-out.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is Kalshi Fees. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
Is this market available outside the US?
Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
How does resolution work?
Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
What does Polymarket cost to trade?
Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.
and

Trade Counter-Strike: magic vs EYEBALLERS (BO3) - 1win Pri… on Kalshi Fees

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