Counter-Strike: Johnny Speeds vs roamsfiest (BO3) - Svenska CS-Ligan Playoffs

Platform comparison

Active sub-markets

Market context

The underlying event is the lower-bracket semifinal in the Svenska CS-Ligan 2026 playoffs between roamsfiest and Johnny Speeds, a Best-of-3 Counter-Strike 2 match that concluded on 27 June with roamsfiest winning 2–1. This outcome is already confirmed across live-score aggregators, meaning the market has effectively settled before the official settlement window closes[1][2]. The crowd-implied probability of 0% YES for Johnny Speeds reflects this finality, as the match result is no longer speculative but a recorded historical fact.

Historically, prediction markets for completed esports matches that resolve post-event often show near-zero probability for the losing side, mirroring how conditional-order bots automatically close positions once a result is verified on-chain or via oracle feeds. Comparable cases in CS2 tournaments show that when a match ends in a decisive 2–1 victory, markets rarely retain liquidity for the defeated player unless a cancellation or tie clause is triggered[4]. Here, the 2–1 scoreline eliminates ambiguity, aligning the market price with the actual outcome rather than crowd sentiment.

Traders should monitor official tournament announcements for any post-match disputes or format changes, though the Svenska CS-Ligan 2026 is a confirmed offline Valve Tier 2 event with no pending delays[4]. Recent coverage from GosuGamers confirms the match result and format, serving as a primary data source for programmatic settlement[1]. Dependencies include the tournament’s official oracle feed, which will likely resolve the market to “roamsfiest” immediately upon ingestion of the final score, rendering further trading irrelevant for utility-focused power-users evaluating copy-trading bots or conditional orders.

Sources: 1 · 2 · 3 · 4 · 5

Methodology

We track Counter-Strike: Johnny Speeds vs roamsfiest (BO3) - Svenska CS-Ligan Playoffs on the five venues with material liquidity for prediction markets. Live odds come from the Polymarket Polygon order book — the only source that ships real-time data under an open licence. For Kalshi, Betfair and Manifold we list platform attributes (fee, KYC, settlement, payment) instead of fabricated odds, because their APIs use non-comparable contract definitions.

Resolution & payout

At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.

On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?

On PolyGram, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.

Is this market available outside the US?

PolyGram is available in most jurisdictions where Polymarket isn't directly accessible. Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check local regulations.

How does resolution work?

Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.

What does it cost to trade on PolyGram?

Zero. PolyGram routes every order to the live Polymarket order book; the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction.

How fast are USDC deposits?

Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.