Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via Kalshi Fees) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
100% | 0% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Place a position → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
100% | 0% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Place a position → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Place a position → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Place a position → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Place a position → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| Map 1 Winner | 100% |
| Map 2 Winner | 100% |
| Match Winner | 100% |
| Map Handicap: GLS (-1.5) vs Keyd (+1.5) | 100% |
| Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 | 100% |
| Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Galorys (-3.5) vs Keyd (+3.5) | 100% |
| Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 | 50% |
| O/U 2.5 Games | 0% |
| Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 | 0% |
| Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Keyd (-3.5) vs Galorys (+3.5) | 0% |
| Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 24.5 | 0% |
| Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 24.5 | 0% |
Market context
Galorys and Keyd are playing a best-of-three in the BetBoom Storm group stage, a Swiss-format South American Counter-Strike 2 event running through 11 August with playoff places decided at the end of the group phase.[8][9][13] The market is effectively pricing a completed regulation result, because the match has already finished 2-0 to Galorys in the listed live score and fixture feeds, which is consistent with a full settlement to Galorys rather than a void or split outcome.[1][12]
For context, these teams have already met in BetBoom Storm competition, and Keyd won their previous group-stage BO3 in Season 3 by 2-0, so the pairing is not a fresh matchup and the result profile has a recent precedent.[2][6][11] Public bookmaker-style listings also showed Galorys as a modest pre-match favourite in the earlier meeting, but the head-to-head sample is thin and should be treated as low-volume evidence rather than a strong predictive edge.[6][17]
For a trader reading this programmatically, the main inputs are the tournament schedule, live fixture state, and any late-format changes from the organiser or score providers, because a market can still flip to 50-50 if the match is cancelled, tied, or left unresolved beyond the settlement window.[1][3][9] In practice, bots and conditional orders should key off a completed scoreline from the event feed, then watch for official rescheduling, forfeiture notes, or abandoned-map flags, since those are the only realistic paths away from a straight Galorys result in a BO3 already reported as finished.[1][3][13]
Methodology
This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote, four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to Kalshi Fees, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.
Resolution & payout
At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.
On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.
FAQ
- Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
- Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is Kalshi Fees. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
- Is this market available outside the US?
- Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
- What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
- A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
- What does Polymarket cost to trade?
- Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.
- Do I need to KYC for this market?
- On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like Kalshi Fees trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.
Trade Counter-Strike: Galorys vs Keyd (BO3) - BetBoom Stor… on Kalshi Fees
Live order book, 0% fees, USDC settlement in seconds.
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