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Counter-Strike: GamerLegion vs MOUZ (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffs

Five-platform snapshot of "Counter-Strike: GamerLegion vs MOUZ (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffs" — live Polymarket pricing, plus how Kalshi, Betfair and Manifold structure the same contract.

Map 1 Rounds Handicap: MOUZ (-3.5) vs GamerLegion (+3.5) 60% Map Handicap: MOUZ (-1.5) vs GamerLegion (+1.5) 56% Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 18.5 51% Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 50% Volume: $337K Liquidity: $370K Closes: 19 Aug 2026
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Counter-Strike: GamerLegion vs MOUZ (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffs

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Kalshi Fees) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
60% 40% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Place a position →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
60% 40% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Place a position →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Place a position →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Place a position →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Place a position →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: MOUZ (-3.5) vs GamerLegion (+3.5)60%
Map Handicap: MOUZ (-1.5) vs GamerLegion (+1.5)56%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 18.551%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.550%
Map 3 Rounds Handicap: MOUZ (-3.5) vs GamerLegion (+3.5)50%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: MOUZ (-6.5) vs GamerLegion (+6.5)50%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 24.550%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: MOUZ (-9.5) vs GamerLegion (+9.5)50%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.549%
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.549%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: MOUZ (-3.5) vs GamerLegion (+3.5)46%
O/U 2.5 Games40%
Map 2 Winner33%
Match Winner19%
Map 1 Winner16%

Market context

Traders on decentralised prediction markets give 60% probability to counter-strike: gamerlegion vs mouz (bo3) - esports world cup playoffs. This market refers to the Counter-Strike Round of 16 match between GamerLegion and MOUZ in the Esports World Cup Playoffs, initially scheduled for August 19, 2026 at 1:00 PM ET. This market will reso…

Methodology

We track Counter-Strike: GamerLegion vs MOUZ (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffs across the five venues with material prediction-market liquidity. The probability shown is the live Polymarket mid; the comparison rows summarise how each venue treats the underlying contract — fees, KYC thresholds, settlement currency, deposit options. The highlighted row marks the cheapest route into Polymarket's order book.

Resolution & payout

Settlement runs on-chain. Polymarket's contract logic separates YES and NO shares as conditional tokens; at resolution the winning share lifts to $1.00 and the losing one to $0. The outcome input comes from the UMA Optimistic Oracle, which secures against bad resolution with a bond + dispute window.

Once finalised, the smart contract pays USDC to the holders' wallets within minutes — no withdrawal fees beyond Polygon network gas. Kalshi settles in USD via CFTC clearance, Betfair in account currency net of commission, Manifold in play-money mana with no cash-out.

FAQ

Is this market available outside the US?
Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
What does Polymarket cost to trade?
Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.
Do I need to KYC for this market?
On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like Kalshi Fees trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.
How reliable are the quoted odds?
The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
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