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Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs Spirit (BO5) - Esports World Cup Playoffs

Live odds for "Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs Spirit (BO5) - Esports World Cup Playoffs" pulled from the Polygon order book, alongside the platform attributes of every venue that runs this contract.

O/U 3.5 Games 69% Map Handicap: TS (-1.5) vs FUT Esports (+1.5) 54% Map 5 Rounds Handicap: Spirit (-3.5) vs FUT Esports (+3.5) 51% Map 4 Rounds Handicap: Spirit (-3.5) vs FUT Esports (+3.5) 50% Volume: $129K Liquidity: $210K Closes: 23 Aug 2026
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Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs Spirit (BO5) - Esports World Cup Playoffs

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Kalshi Fees) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
 69% 31% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Place a position →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
 69% 31% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Place a position →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
 — — Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Place a position →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
 — — 2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Place a position →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
 — — Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Place a position →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
O/U 3.5 Games69%
Map Handicap: TS (-1.5) vs FUT Esports (+1.5)54%
Map 5 Rounds Handicap: Spirit (-3.5) vs FUT Esports (+3.5)51%
Map 4 Rounds Handicap: Spirit (-3.5) vs FUT Esports (+3.5)50%
Map 4 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.550%
Map 5 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.550%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.549%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.549%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Spirit (-3.5) vs FUT Esports (+3.5)47%
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.547%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Spirit (-3.5) vs FUT Esports (+3.5)46%
Map 3 Rounds Handicap: Spirit (-3.5) vs FUT Esports (+3.5)45%
Map 2 Winner35%
Map 1 Winner34%
Map 3 Winner34%
Map 4 Winner33%
O/U 4.5 Games32%
Map Handicap: TS (-2.5) vs FUT Esports (+2.5)27%
Match Winner25%

Market context

Live Polymarket data shows 69% YES probability for Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs Spirit (BO5) - Esports World Cup Playoffs. This market refers to the Counter-Strike Grand final match between FUT Esports and Spirit in the Esports World Cup Playoffs, initially scheduled for August 23, 2026 at 7:30 AM ET. This market will re…

Methodology

We track Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs Spirit (BO5) - Esports World Cup Playoffs across the five venues with material prediction-market liquidity. The probability shown is the live Polymarket mid; the comparison rows summarise how each venue treats the underlying contract — fees, KYC thresholds, settlement currency, deposit options. The highlighted row marks the cheapest route into Polymarket's order book.

Resolution & payout

At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.

On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.

FAQ

Is this market available outside the US?
Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
What does Polymarket cost to trade?
Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.
How fast are USDC deposits?
Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
Do I need to KYC for this market?
On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like Kalshi Fees trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.
How reliable are the quoted odds?
The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
Alex ChenAlex ChenPrediction Market AnalystandJordan LeeJordan LeeSports Prediction Reporter

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