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Counter-Strike: BORRACHEIROS vs MEIA NOITE (BO3) - BetBoom Storm Group Stage

How the prediction-market book is pricing "Counter-Strike: BORRACHEIROS vs MEIA NOITE (BO3) - BetBoom Storm Group Stage" right now, with a side-by-side platform comparison and zero-fee CTAs.

Map 1 Winner 100% O/U 2.5 Games 100% Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 75% Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 73% Volume: $119K Liquidity: $287K Closes: 10 Aug 2026
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Counter-Strike: BORRACHEIROS vs MEIA NOITE (BO3) - BetBoom Storm Group Stage

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Kalshi Fees) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Place a position →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Place a position →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Place a position →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Place a position →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Place a position →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Map 1 Winner100%
O/U 2.5 Games100%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.575%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.573%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 18.573%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 24.555%
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.550%
Match Winner45%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: MEIA NOITE (-3.5) vs BORRACHEIROS (+3.5)45%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: MEIA NOITE (-6.5) vs BORRACHEIROS (+6.5)45%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 30.545%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: BORRACHEIROS (-3.5) vs MEIA NOITE (+3.5)45%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 36.545%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: MEIA NOITE (-3.5) vs BORRACHEIROS (+3.5)45%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: MEIA NOITE (-6.5) vs BORRACHEIROS (+6.5)45%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 24.545%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 27.545%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: MEIA NOITE (-9.5) vs BORRACHEIROS (+9.5)28%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: MEIA NOITE (-12.5) vs BORRACHEIROS (+12.5)28%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: MEIA NOITE (-9.5) vs BORRACHEIROS (+9.5)26%
Map 2 Winner0%
Map Handicap: MEIA NOITE (-1.5) vs BORRACHEIROS (+1.5)0%
Map Handicap: CHAMA (-1.5) vs MEIA NOITE (+1.5)0%

Market context

Traders on decentralised prediction markets give 100% probability to counter-strike: borracheiros vs meia noite (bo3) - betboom storm group stage. This market refers to the Counter-Strike Round 5 match between BORRACHEIROS and MEIA NOITE in the BetBoom Storm Group Stage, initially scheduled for August 10 at 1:00PM ET. This market will resolve t…

Methodology

Methodologically we separate two layers: the live probability (Polymarket mid-price) and the platform attributes (fee, KYC, settlement currency, payment rails). That keeps the comparison honest — a single canonical probability across the row, with the venue-by-venue trade-offs spelt out in the columns next to it.

Resolution & payout

Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.

Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.

FAQ

Is this market available outside the US?
Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
How fast are USDC deposits?
Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
Do I need to KYC for this market?
On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like Kalshi Fees trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.
How reliable are the quoted odds?
The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
and

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