Counter-Strike: Acend vs Infinite (BO3) - Super DraculaN Playoffs

Platform comparison

Active sub-markets

Market context

This market tracks the Counter-Strike Quarterfinal 1 match between Acend and Infinite in the Super DraculaN Playoffs, set for 8:00 AM ET on June 26. The event is a best-of-three series within the tournament’s double-elimination group stage, where the top three teams from each eight-team group advance to the main bracket[2]. Acend recently confirmed their entry into Bulgaria’s top tier and secured a spot in the main bracket, framing this as a critical roster test[4].

Historically, 100% crowd-implied probabilities in esports BO3 matches almost invariably signal a scheduled cancellation, a forfeit, or a mismatch so severe that the outcome is predetermined before play begins. In comparable cases from the Digital Crusade series, such extreme consensus has resolved to the “YES” side only when one team failed to appear, triggering an automatic win for the opponent[1]. Programmatically, a power-user would treat this as a conditional order: if the match starts and both teams are present, the probability should collapse from 100% to a competitive range, making the current price a utility for betting on a non-start rather than a competitive result.

Traders must monitor the official stream launch and team presence announcements at the scheduled time, as any delay beyond seven days without a winner resolves the market to 50-50[2]. The primary catalyst is the confirmation of both rosters on the server; if Acend or Infinite fails to connect, the market resolves immediately to the opposing team. Recent tournament updates confirm the match is live today, but the 100% price suggests the market is pricing a forfeit risk rather than a competitive contest[1]. Conditional order logic would trigger a sell if both teams appear, as the implied certainty is likely a mispricing of a non-event.

Sources: 1 · 2 · 3 · 4 · 5

Methodology

This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote (Polymarket), four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to PolyGram, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.

Resolution & payout

Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.

Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.

FAQ

Is this market available outside the US?

PolyGram is available in most jurisdictions where Polymarket isn't directly accessible. Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check local regulations.

What does it cost to trade on PolyGram?

Zero. PolyGram routes every order to the live Polymarket order book; the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction.

How fast are USDC deposits?

Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.

Do I need to KYC for this market?

Not under $1,500 of lifetime trading volume. Above that threshold, PolyGram triggers a quick verification flow that finishes in minutes.

How reliable are the quoted odds?

The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.