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Counter-Strike: 1WIN vs ex-RUBY (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Playoffs

Comparison of odds and platforms for "Counter-Strike: 1WIN vs ex-RUBY (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Playoffs" — sourced live from the Polymarket order book, curated by Kalshi Fees.

Match Winner 68% Map Handicap: 1WIN (-1.5) vs ex-RUBY (+1.5) 67% O/U 2.5 Games 63% Map 2 Winner 59% Volume: $70K Liquidity: $111K Closes: 3 Aug 2026
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Counter-Strike: 1WIN vs ex-RUBY (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Playoffs

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Kalshi Fees) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
68% 32% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Place a position →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
68% 32% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Place a position →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Place a position →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Place a position →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Place a position →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Match Winner68%
Map Handicap: 1WIN (-1.5) vs ex-RUBY (+1.5)67%
O/U 2.5 Games63%
Map 2 Winner59%
Map 1 Winner58%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.550%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.550%
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.550%

Market context

Market consensus: 68% chance of counter-strike: 1win vs ex-ruby (bo3) - nodwin clutch series playoffs. Prediction markets aggregate real capital to produce this probability signal. This market refers to the Counter-Strike Round of 16 match between 1WIN and ex-RUBY in the NODWIN Clutch Series Playoffs, initially scheduled for August 3 at 7:00AM ET. This marke…

Methodology

We track Counter-Strike: 1WIN vs ex-RUBY (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Playoffs across the five venues with material prediction-market liquidity. The probability shown is the live Polymarket mid; the comparison rows summarise how each venue treats the underlying contract — fees, KYC thresholds, settlement currency, deposit options. The highlighted row marks the cheapest route into Polymarket's order book.

Resolution & payout

Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.

Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.

FAQ

How does resolution work?
Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
What does Polymarket cost to trade?
Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.
How fast are USDC deposits?
Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
Do I need to KYC for this market?
On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like Kalshi Fees trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.
How reliable are the quoted odds?
The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
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