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NCAA Football: 2027 National Champion

How the prediction-market book is pricing "NCAA Football: 2027 National Champion" right now, with a side-by-side platform comparison and zero-fee CTAs.

Texas Longhorns 24% Ohio State Buckeyes 14% Notre Dame Fighting Irish 14% Miami Hurricanes 13% Volume: $311K Liquidity: $185K Closes: 26 Jan 2027
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NCAA Football: 2027 National Champion

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Kalshi Fees) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
 24% 76% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Place a position →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
 24% 76% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Place a position →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
 — — Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Place a position →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
 — — 2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Place a position →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
 — — Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Place a position →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Texas Longhorns24%
Ohio State Buckeyes14%
Notre Dame Fighting Irish14%
Miami Hurricanes13%
LSU Tigers12%
Georgia Bulldogs10%
Indiana Hoosiers4%
Mississippi Rebels4%
USC Trojans3%
Oregon Ducks2%
Texas A&M Aggies2%
Texas Tech Red Raiders1%
Alabama Crimson Tide1%
Oklahoma Sooners1%
Michigan Wolverines1%
Florida Gators0%
Team A0%
Team B0%
Team C0%
Team D0%
Team E0%
Team F0%
Team G0%
Team H0%
Team I0%
Team J0%
Team K0%
Team L0%
Team M0%
Team N0%
Team O0%
Team P0%
Team Q0%
Team R0%
Team S0%
Team T0%
Team U0%
Team V0%
Team W0%
Team X0%
Team Y0%
Team Z0%
Team AA0%
Team AB0%
Team AC0%
Team AD0%
Team AE0%
Team AF0%
Team AG0%
Team AH0%
Team AI0%
Team AJ0%
Team AK0%
Team AL0%
Team AM0%
Team AN0%
Team AO0%
Team AP0%
Team AQ0%
Team AR0%
Team AS0%
Team AT0%
Team AU0%
Team AV0%
Team AW0%
Team AX0%
Team AY0%
Team AZ0%
Team BA0%
Team BB0%
Team BC0%
Team BD0%
Team BE0%
Team BF0%
Team BG0%
Team BH0%
Team BI0%
Team BJ0%
Team BK0%
Team BL0%
Team BM0%
Team BN0%
Team BO0%
Team BP0%
Team BQ0%
Team BR0%
Team BS0%
Team BT0%
Team BU0%
Team BV0%
Team BW0%
Team BX0%
Team BY0%
Team BZ0%
Team CA0%
Team CB0%
Team CC0%
Team CD0%
Team CE0%
Team CF0%
Team CG0%
Team CH0%
Team CI0%
Team CJ0%
Team CK0%
Team CL0%
Team CM0%
Team CN0%
Other0%

Market context

NCAA Football: 2027 National Champion — current market-implied probability: 24%. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed club is determined as the national champion of the 2026-27 College Football Playoff. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No". If at any point it becomes imp…

Methodology

Methodologically we separate two layers: the live probability (Polymarket mid-price) and the platform attributes (fee, KYC, settlement currency, payment rails). That keeps the comparison honest — a single canonical probability across the row, with the venue-by-venue trade-offs spelt out in the columns next to it.

Resolution & payout

At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.

On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.

FAQ

Is this market available outside the US?
Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
What does Polymarket cost to trade?
Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.
Do I need to KYC for this market?
On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like Kalshi Fees trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.
How reliable are the quoted odds?
The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
Alex ChenAlex ChenPrediction Market AnalystandJordan LeeJordan LeeSports Prediction Reporter

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