Golf major prediction markets draw together a diverse community of participants: dedicated golf analysts, quantitative researchers specialising in performance metrics like strokes gained, and algorithmic traders who view golf majors as liquid, well-defined events with robust historical datasets and transparent settlement mechanics.
2026 Golf Major Calendar
- The Masters (April): Augusta National — RESOLVED (view PolyGram for 2027 edition)
- US Open (June): Shinnecock Hills — Upcoming
- The Open Championship (July): Royal Troon — Upcoming
- PGA Championship (August): Quail Hollow — Upcoming
US Open 2026 Winner Odds
Live PolyGram market valuations (May 2026):
- Scottie Scheffler: ~20-25% — Top-ranked player globally, exceptional performance trajectory through 2025–26
- Xander Schauffele: ~12-15% — Major championship victor, reliable tournament competitor
- Rory McIlroy: ~10-13% — Pursuing US Open success, excellent mid-iron execution
- Collin Morikawa: ~8-11% — Exceptional accuracy off the tee aligns with US Open demands
- Viktor Hovland: ~6-9% — Proficient with long irons
Golf Major Trading Edge
Golf majors present multiple pathways for generating trading advantage:
- Venue-specific patterns: Certain competitors demonstrate recurring outperformance or underperformance at particular courses
- Strokes gained metrics: SG data exhibits robust predictive correlation with major outcomes — cross-reference approach-shot efficiency on similar course profiles
- Tee time allocation effects: Draw positioning in major tournaments generates conditional advantages tied to atmospheric circumstances
- Recency bias vs historical record: Pricing occasionally elevates near-term results above sustained major-championship track records
FAQ
- When do golf major prediction markets resolve?
- Settlement occurs Sunday night following the concluding round, ordinarily within one day of the winner's confirmation via PGA Tour and R&A official announcements.
- Can I trade in-round during golf majors?
- PolyGram refreshes market quotes continuously throughout major tournament rounds. Winner odds fluctuate dynamically as competitors move up and down the leaderboard across all 72 holes.
- Are there cut-making markets for golf majors?
- Absolutely — PolyGram provides granular cut-make/cut-miss contracts for individual entrants in major championships, enabling granular position trading on any field member.