About the author
Sarah Whitfield is Markets Editor at PolyGram with a focus on political prediction markets. She has tracked election forecasting since the 2020 US presidential cycle and specialises in benchmarking Polymarket-implied probability against polling aggregators and election-model outputs.
Sarah's beat covers US presidential and congressional contracts, UK parliamentary markets, and major EU election cycles. She analyses how market prices move on debate performance, endorsements, and breaking campaign developments — and where prediction markets lead or lag traditional polling.
Before PolyGram, Sarah covered Westminster politics for a UK national daily. She holds an MA in International Relations.
Areas of expertise
Political ForecastingElection MarketsUS PoliticsUK PoliticsPollingPrediction Markets
Recent articles by Sarah Whitfield
Polymarket Election Markets: Complete Trader's Guide 2025
1 April 2026Polymarket election markets
What Are Prediction Markets? A Complete Guide for 2026
28 April 2026what are prediction markets
How to Use PolyGram: Getting Started Guide for 2026
28 April 2026how to use PolyGram
Is Polymarket Legal? Regulation Guide for 2026
28 April 2026is polymarket legal
How to Find Arbitrage in Prediction Markets
1 May 2026prediction market arbitrage
Crypto Futures vs Prediction Markets: Key Differences
1 May 2026crypto futures vs prediction markets
Prediction Market Taxes: What You Need to Know
1 May 2026prediction market taxes
2026 FIFA World Cup Predictions: Live Odds & Analysis
1 May 2026World Cup 2026 prediction odds
US Senate 2026: Prediction Market Odds by State
1 May 2026US Senate prediction market 2026
Polymarket Banned Countries: Where You Can and Can't Trade
1 May 2026Polymarket banned countries
How to Withdraw from Prediction Markets: Step-by-Step
1 May 2026how to withdraw prediction markets
Prediction Market Signals: How Traders Read the Odds
1 May 2026prediction market signals
How Accurate Are Prediction Markets? The Research
1 May 2026prediction market accuracy
Will Bitcoin Hit $100K in 2026? Prediction Market Odds Analyzed
1 May 2026will bitcoin hit 100k 2026
Polymarket Review 2026: Is It Still the Best Prediction Market Platform?
1 May 2026polymarket review 2026
NBA 2026 Finals Prediction Markets: Championship Odds & Playoff Guide
1 May 2026NBA prediction markets 2026
How to Deposit on PolyGram: USDC, Credit Card & Bank Transfer Guide
1 May 2026prediction market deposit guide
Crypto Prediction Markets 2026: Bitcoin, Ethereum & Altcoin Forecasting Guide
1 May 2026crypto prediction market
How Accurate Are Prediction Markets? Research & Evidence from 2016-2026
1 May 2026how accurate are prediction markets
NBA Championship Odds 2026: Which Teams Are Prediction Markets Backing?
1 May 2026NBA championship odds 2026
Conditional Prediction Markets Explained: How Nested Forecasts Work
1 May 2026conditional prediction markets
UEFA Champions League 2025/26 Prediction Markets: Winner Odds & Quarter-Final Guide
1 May 2026champions league prediction market 2026
Federal Reserve Rate Decision Prediction Markets: Trade FOMC Outcomes in 2026
1 May 2026federal reserve prediction market
Inflation Prediction Markets 2026: CPI, PCE & Fed Target Markets
2 May 2026inflation prediction market 2026
Cricket Prediction Markets 2026: ICC Events, Ashes & T20 World Cup Odds
2 May 2026cricket prediction market 2026
Oscars 2027 Prediction Markets: Best Picture, Director & Actor Odds
2 May 2026Oscars prediction market 2027
Copy Trading on Prediction Markets: Follow Top Forecasters in 2026
2 May 2026prediction market copy trading
How to Spot Value in Prediction Markets: 5 Signs a Market Is Mispriced
2 May 2026mispriced prediction market value
World Series 2026 Prediction Markets: MLB Championship & Playoff Odds
2 May 2026World Series 2026 prediction market
The Prediction Market Weekly Routine: How Profitable Traders Spend 5 Hours/Week
2 May 2026prediction market weekly routine
Bitcoin Halving Impact Prediction Markets: Post-Halving Price Cycle Odds
2 May 2026bitcoin halving prediction market
Esports Prediction Markets 2026: LoL, CS2, Valorant & Major Tournament Odds
2 May 2026esports prediction market 2026
The Ultimate Prediction Market Guide 2026: Everything You Need to Start
2 May 2026prediction market guide 2026
Olympics & Athletics Prediction Markets 2026-2028: Track, Field & Medal Odds
2 May 2026olympics prediction market 2028
Prediction Market Bankroll Management: Never Blow Up Your Account
2 May 2026prediction market bankroll management
Premier League Prediction Markets 2026: Title Race, Relegation & Top Scorer
2 May 2026premier league prediction market 2026
DeFi Prediction Markets 2026: Total Value Locked, Aave, Uniswap & Protocol Milestones
2 May 2026DeFi prediction market 2026
Winter Sports Prediction Markets 2026: Skiing, Snowboarding & Ice Sports
2 May 2026winter sports prediction market 2026
La Liga Prediction Markets 2025/26: Real Madrid, Barcelona & Title Race Odds
2 May 2026la liga prediction market 2026
Polymarket Tax UK: HMRC Guide to Prediction Market Winnings 2026
9 June 2026polymarket tax uk HMRC
Who Will Win in 2026? Prediction Market Odds for Every Major Event
9 June 2026who will win 2026
Is Polymarket Legit? Safety, Regulation & User Reviews 2026
9 June 2026is polymarket legit
Is Polymarket a Scam? Honest Review & Safety Analysis
9 June 2026is polymarket a scam
Champions League Prediction Markets 2026: How to Trade UCL Odds
9 June 2026champions league prediction markets 2026
Is Kalshi Available in the UK? 2026 Guide & Alternatives
9 June 2026kalshi uk
Polymarket in German: English Guide for German Speakers
9 June 2026polymarket deutsch english
Polymarket Germany: Complete Guide for German Traders 2026
9 June 2026polymarket germany guide
Who Will Win Champions League 2026? Live Prediction Odds
9 June 2026who will win champions league 2026
Prediction Today: Best Market Bets for Today 2026
9 June 2026prediction today best bets
Polymarket Fees UK 2026: Complete Breakdown (Gas, Withdrawal, Trading)
10 June 2026
How to Sign Up to Polymarket in the UK: Step-by-Step 2026
10 June 2026
Can You Use a Debit Card on Polymarket? UK Guide 2026
10 June 2026
Polymarket Bank Transfer: UK Guide to Fiat Deposits 2026
10 June 2026
Euro 2026 Prediction Markets: Trade Football Odds Online
10 June 2026
NBA Finals 2026 Prediction Market: Live Odds & How to Trade
10 June 2026
Polymarket vs Augur: Which Prediction Market Is Better in 2026?
10 June 2026